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Return Simulator

Simulate expected return (EV) and ROI using your assumptions

Return simulator

Stake

Odds

Probability

Break-even

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ROI

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Probability unavailable

What it's for

Before betting, it's useful to know break-even and expected return. This simulator shows whether your true probability implies value or an overpriced bet.

How to use it

Enter stake, odds, and your true probability.
Check break-even and ROI to validate the price.
If EV is negative, reduce stake or avoid the market.

You may also want: Odds Converter · EV Calculator

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